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Sales of existing homes fell to an eight-month low in November, leaving the highest inventory of homes on the market in 20 years, according to the National Association of Realtors, a trade association. New home sales also are slackening, falling 11 percent in November for the biggest decline in 11 years. As a result, the demand for mortgages dropped to the lowest in almost four years in the last week of December. (Source Bloomberg January 9, 2006

 

Contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes fell 2.5 percent in November, a third straight decline, the National Association of Realtors said January 5, 2006.

The number of mortgage applications last week fell to the lowest level since May 2002, according to a report Januar 4, 2006 from the Mortgage Bankers Association. (Source Bloomberg January 5, 2006)

 

Sears domestic comparable store sales declined by 11.9% nine-week period ended December 31, 2005 (source MSN Money January 5, 2006)

 

Wal-Mart's estimated December same-store sales increase of 2.2 per cent (Source CBC News January 3, 2006)

 

Planned U.S. layoffs jumped 8.6 percent in December, pushing the 2005 annual total of job cuts 3.1 percent higher than in 2004.

The increases were due in large part to big increases in job cuts within the government, non-profit and automotive sectors, said Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc., an employment consulting firm.

(Source Reuters January 5,2006)

 

People are going to lifestyle centers for one or two specific retailers, and that's it," said Patrice Duker with The International Council of Shopping Centers. "They're getting what they need, and they're leaving. " (Source The Columbus Dispatch January 4, 2006)

 

In 1979, Moody's gave 61 companies its highest AAA rating. Ten years ago, that number was 21. Three years ago, it was nine. The latest casualties were Bristol-Myers Squibb in 2002, Merck in November and AIG last week. (Source San Francisco Gate April 7, 2005)

 

More than half of the steel buyers polled by the Institute of Supply Management in the fourth quarter expressed concern about supply of steel flat-rolled, plate and bar products through mid-2006. Also cited in Purchasing magazine surveys are aluminum plate, extrusions and wire products; copper mill products of all types; and every conceivable shape of titanium (Purchasing.com January 12, 2006).

November sales of previously owned homes fell an annual 11.2 percent in California (Source RIS Media Dec 28 2005)

 

 

 

Foreclosures from Countrywide in Arizona, California, Hawaii, Idaho, Oregon, Nevada and Washington

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 


 

What you need to know about how CPI is calculated.

 

"Domestic credit as a percentage of banking assets is high ... the US (164 per cent), UK (140 per cent), Korea (110 per cent), Malaysia (155 per cent), Germany (147 per cent), China (140 per cent), South Africa (167 per cent), Thailand (112 per cent) and Singapore (102 per cent). This not only means that the banking sector across the world is at higher risk, but also that growth in other industries which have been thriving on easy credit could suffer." June 28, 2004 Business Standard

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News on oil market

Reasons for oil price increase:

  • Sept. 13, Hurricane Ivan crossed the Gulf of Mexico, a source for a quarter of U.S. oil, smashing rigs and shutting refineries. This increased U.S. refiners' need for importing oil.
  • We have a boost in demand from winter heating fuel needs
  • The world market has very little capacity, see story below. There are problems in Iraq, Nigeria and in the Middle East in general. Norway is pumping about 150,000 barrels less a day because of a three-month labor conflict (source Bloomberg Oct 15, 2004)

Fuel damage assessment from Hurricane: About 475,000 barrels of oil per day (BOPD) and about 1.8 billion cubic feet of gas per day (BCFPD) remain shut-in (closed). Of this 31% of oil production and 55% of the gas shut-in production may be back on line by the end of October. For the longer term, about 96% of the normal daily production should be back on line within 6 months, Oct 8 2004. (source US Dept of Minerals Management Service)

Is the age of oil coming to an end? Total global consumption is expected to skyrocket in coming years -- from 82-million barrels a day now, to about 121-million b/d in 2025. This increase would exceed the entire current output of all members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. (National Post)

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